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2024-12-13 19:29:09
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After the publication of CPI in the United States, the probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December has almost been fully priced. According to CME's "Fed Observation", the probability that the Fed will keep the current interest rate unchanged by December is 2.3%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 97.7%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 1.7%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 71.2%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 27.1%.The probability of the Bank of Japan raising interest rates this month doesn't seem to increase the strength of the US/Japan again. Justin Low, an analyst at Forexlive, a financial website, said that the possibility of the Bank of Japan raising interest rates this month was very low from the beginning, and earlier today, the ratio was about 30%. There has just been a sudden report that some policy makers of the Bank of Japan may support raising interest rates in December, but they also think it is unnecessary to rush because they think the cost of waiting for raising interest rates is "very small". After this news, the possibility of the Bank of Japan raising interest rates further dropped to about 23%. This, in turn, led to buying against the yen, while the yen fell. In the initial reaction, USD/JPY once fell to a low of 150.99, but then rose to around 152.30.HSBC is studying plans to cut costs by at least $3 billion. On December 11th, it was reported that HSBC Holdings was studying plans to cut costs by at least $3 billion. According to people familiar with the matter, HSBC told managers last week that its reform would not be completed until June 2025. These people said that the total cost savings are still in progress, but executives hope that this work will help them reduce their expenses by at least $3 billion.


Spot gold just broke through the $2,690.00/oz mark, and the latest price was $2,689.72/oz, down 0.15% in the day.Shanghai Ultra-high-definition Audio-visual Industry Cluster is unveiled, aiming to reach 200 billion yuan by the end of the Tenth Five-Year Plan. Jing 'an will implement 21 major tasks of the "Four Key Projects" of the Ultra-high-definition Audio-visual Industry, and strive to reach 200 billion yuan by the end of the Tenth Five-Year Plan, with the output of ultra-high-definition audio-visual content exceeding 10,000 hours, making it a highland for the production of ultra-high-definition audio-visual content in China and an ultra-high-definition audio-visual industry cluster with global influence.The price of gold is expected to break through the market. The key data of the United States are expected tonight, and the price of gold is basically flat on Wednesday. The market expects the key inflation data of the United States, which may affect the general expectation of interest rate cuts and provide more clues for the outlook in 2025. Rhona O‘Connell, an analyst at StoneX, said that the market is concerned about the upcoming inflation data and will pay attention to President Powell's post-meeting comments next week for further policy insights. O' Connell added that the price of gold was once stagnant but showing signs of recovery. The recent rebound was driven by geopolitical risks, and the price of gold reached the upper limit of the range, but did not break through the high point. Kyle Rodda, a financial market analyst in Capital.com, said: "The expected data almost gives the Fed a green light to cut interest rates next week, which may be a gold price catalyst." Goldman Sachs said that the main downside risk of predicting that gold will be $3,000 per ounce by the end of 2025 is that the Fed will cut interest rates, not that the dollar will strengthen. Goldman Sachs predicts: "If the Fed cuts interest rates again, the price of gold will rise to $2,890 per ounce."


South Korea's tourism industry has been hit, and the mayor of Seoul promised to ensure the safety of tourists. Recently, South Korea's tourism industry has been hit by the emergency martial law storm, and many hotels and travel agencies have been unsubscribed. Seoul Mayor SE HUN promised to take measures to ensure the safety of tourists on the 11th and urged foreign tourists to visit Seoul. SE HUN said at the meeting that a large number of people gathered near Gwanghwamun and Ruyi Island in Seoul recently, but the related activities were generally peaceful and no safety accidents occurred. According to him, Seoul's safety standards are still quite high. (Xinhua News Agency)Health Yuan: Obtained the commitment letter of stock repurchase loan from financial institutions of no more than 238 million yuan. Health Yuan announcement, the company recently obtained the commitment letter of loan from Industrial Bank, with a loan amount of no more than 238 million yuan, no more than 90% of the upper limit of repurchase amount, and a loan period of no more than 36 months, which is specially used to repurchase shares of listed companies. The total amount of the company's actual loan and the amount of the repurchased funds shall not exceed the upper limit of the amount of this repurchase program. The commitment letter of the financial institution's stock repurchase loan obtained this time does not represent the company's commitment to the repurchase amount. The specific number of shares repurchased shall be subject to the actual number of shares repurchased at the expiration of the repurchase period.Shanghai Ultra-high-definition Audio-visual Industry Cluster is unveiled, aiming to reach 200 billion yuan by the end of the Tenth Five-Year Plan. Jing 'an will implement 21 major tasks of the "Four Key Projects" of the Ultra-high-definition Audio-visual Industry, and strive to reach 200 billion yuan by the end of the Tenth Five-Year Plan, with the output of ultra-high-definition audio-visual content exceeding 10,000 hours, making it a highland for the production of ultra-high-definition audio-visual content in China and an ultra-high-definition audio-visual industry cluster with global influence.

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